SciCasters are following the ESA’s International Rosetta Mission and counting down the days of the much-anticipated landing of the Philae on a periodic comet known as Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. The latest news from ESA states that it will deploy the Philae to the comet on November 12.http://bit.ly/1DQEAcy
Question number two of our new infographic series: Now Trending on SciCast: Will Google announce the development of a smartwatch at or before the Google I/O 2014 Conference June 25 and 26? We’re featuring a new question every 1-2 weeks. Download and share the infographic.
We’re excited to kick off a new infographic series for SciCast with this question about a major hurricane hitting the U.S. this coming season. We’ll be featuring a new question every 1-2 weeks. Download and share the infographic.
On SciCast, we’ve posted three questions about the missing plane. Can crowdsourcing help to locate it?
Dr. Charles Twardy, Project Principal, explains the different ways to crowdsource a search. “When a community turns out to help look for a lost child, that’s crowdsourcing,” he says. “The community volunteers typically aren’t as well-prepared as the search teams, but when directed by experienced Field Team Leaders, they can greatly extend the search effort. Similarly, experimental micro-tasking sites like TomNod.com let volunteers help search piles of digital images. Call it the effort of the crowd. SciCast is about the wisdom of the crowd: weighing the vast amounts of uncertain and conflicting evidence to arrive at a group judgment, of say the relative chances of several regions or scenarios. This could be as simple as an average – a robust method with much to recommend it when judgments are independent. Or it could be something more advanced, like SciCast’s combinatorial prediction market. A market reduces double-counting, and may be better suited to the case where most of us are just mulling over the same information, but a few have real insight. The trick is to find a large and diverse crowd, and persuade them to participate.”
Following are the questions. Click any of them to make your forecast (register or login first). Also, see the discussion and background tabs of each question for more details and links to news sources.